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Various opinion polls released ahead of the Lok Sabha elections that start on Thursday predicted a second chance for the ruling NDA alliance but with a very slim majority.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi led BJP with the support of allies in the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is expected to win 273 seats – just two seats extra to make it past the majority mark – out of the total 543 parliamentary seats, predicted a poll of opinion polls.

This is in place of the stunning majority of more than 330 seats that the alliance won in the last elections.

It is interesting to note that the issues that matter in this election are mostly security issues unlike most of the years. The polling agencies also suggested that the terrorist attack in Pulwama that killed 40 CRPF personnel that led to a tension between India and Pakistan gave a boost to the popularity of Modi government.

In the manifesto released by the BJP on Monday has promised to address several national issues. The manifesto also talks about scrapping Article 370A from the Indian constitution.

“In today’s India we have seen perhaps for the first time security issues competing with, and outdoing, a bread and butter issue like unemployment,” CVoter said in a statement.

“Primarily, the BJP has been unable to sufficiently distinguish itself from Congress when it comes to making people feel the difference in terms of their livelihood and economic interests. However, when it comes to controlling and responding on terror the same set of respondents do feel a clear and visible difference,” said the statement.

CVoter predicted 267 seats for the NDA government which is the lowest among all opinion polls. The same poll predicted 142 for UPA. India TV-CNX predicted 275 seats for NDA and 142 votes for UPA. The highest majority for the NDA is predicted by Times Now-VMR which is 279. The same poll predicted 149 for UPA.

The seven-phase election begins on April 11 and votes will be counted on May 23.

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